Stijn Slump vs Evgeny Karlovskiy Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve effectiveness in the last six months shows Slump winning 44.21% and Karlovskiy slightly ahead with 44.49%. This marginal difference can influence predictions.
• For return games, Karlovskiy outperforms with 44.58% success against second serve, compared to Slump's 41.18%. First serve returns are also in Karlovskiy’s favor at 26.39% against Slump’s 25.57%.
• When facing breakpoints, Slump has a slight edge, saving 56.29% under pressure, slightly better than Karlovskiy’s 55.51%.
• Looking at winning percentages over the past year, Karlovskiy is slightly ahead with 55.93%, while Slump is close with 53.33%.
• Who thrives on which surface? Slump excels on clay with a 60% success rate. Karlovskiy shows his best on hard courts, with a 61% success rate.
• In terms of tournament level, Slump has played more at lower-tier events, winning 58.82%, while Karlovskiy has excelled in the same tier with a higher win rate of 68.57%.
• Ranked opponents show Slump facing tougher competition with an average opponent ranking of 393.57, compared to Karlovskiy’s 445.39.
• Deciding sets present a challenge to both, as Slump wins 50% of these tense games, and Karlovskiy is close behind with 47% win rate.
• A higher breakpoint conversion rate in recent matches favors Slump at 34.01%, versus Karlovskiy’s conversion at 28.91%.

Editorial Prediction (July 13, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the detailed statistics of Slump and Karlovskiy, subtle margins emerge that could tip the scales in this tennis matchup. Both players show near-identical prowess on second serves, establishing a competitive dynamic. However, Karlovskiy’s superior return game performance, particularly against second serves, provides a distinct advantage.

Slump, on the other hand, demonstrates resilience under pressure with better breakpoint saves, which could prove crucial in tight matches. Despite this, Karlovskiy's higher success rate in converting first serve returns and better performance on hard surfaces potentially gives him a robust foundation mid-game.

Considering Karlovskiy’s greater win rate in $10K events and his higher overall match winning percentage over the past year, these elements collectively suggest perhaps a slight edge. If the game extends to deciding sets, both players have nearly equivalent performance, maintaining suspense till the end.

Ultimately, based on performance metrics, Karlovskiy appears more likely to prevail in this upcoming tennis match. However, Slump's improved breakpoint conversion could potentially challenge this outcome.